Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000133 0.000146 0.000162 0.000179 0.000198 0.000220
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000110 0.000130 0.000154 0.000185 0.000220 0.000266
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000099 0.000123 0.000155 0.000197 0.000249 0.000321
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000092 0.000119 0.000157 0.000209 0.000279 0.000380
2025-07-27 0.000063 0.000084 0.000114 0.000156 0.000217 0.000302 0.000432
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000080 0.000111 0.000158 0.000228 0.000331 0.000495
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000156 0.000233 0.000350 0.000545
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000070 0.000103 0.000155 0.000238 0.000369 0.000598
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000065 0.000098 0.000152 0.000240 0.000384 0.000645
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000147 0.000239 0.000393 0.000682
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000147 0.000246 0.000416 0.000746
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000056 0.000090 0.000149 0.000256 0.000445 0.000826
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000053 0.000086 0.000146 0.000257 0.000460 0.000881
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000049 0.000081 0.000140 0.000252 0.000463 0.000916
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000259 0.000491 0.001007
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000078 0.000143 0.000270 0.000526 0.001118
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000142 0.000275 0.000550 0.001207
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000144 0.000286 0.000588 0.001336
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000040 0.000073 0.000142 0.000288 0.000608 0.001424
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000140 0.000292 0.000630 0.001522
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000138 0.000292 0.000646 0.001605
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000134 0.000288 0.000651 0.001662
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000134 0.000295 0.000681 0.001793